Aids epidemic overstated...

At the start of this year, I posted a blog wondering why people are so ready to believe that "experts" have it right when they predict disaster because of global warming.

I pointed out that in several cases "experts" have got it wrong including Aids in the 1980s. I wrote: "In the 1980s the 'experts' predicted that by the end of the decade every family in Britain would be affected by Aids; we would all know someone who had died of Aids. Billions of pounds were spent telling us to change our behaviour. Twenty-five years later, the Aids explosion hasn't happened. Guess what? The 'experts' were wrong."

Now, top scientists at the United Nations have finally admitted they have long overblown the scale of the global Aids epidemic. Flying in the face of its own doomsday forecasts of an ever-expanding Aids nightmare, a UN report published today reveals that the threat has been declining for nearly a decade.

New infections have also been calculated at 2.5million, a cut of more than 40 per cent from last year's estimate.

While Aids activists have warned in the past that all sections of society are at risk, the UN Aids agency's latest annual report says that in most parts of the world, outbreaks of the disease are mostly concentrated in gay men, intravenous drug users and prostitutes.

Will the gay activists now apologise and admit their error? Don't bet on it.